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Current Market Events

The current market environment and its impact on stocks, bonds, and the economy.

Will new long-term debt holders effectively discipline banks?

New U.S. regional bank debt can lower the odds of a default and help reduce the cost of a failed bank, but this requires holders to discipline riskier banks.

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Is the market broadening?

While the overall quality of small-caps has diminished, relative valuations are at historically attractive extremes.

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Insights on multi-asset investing: Macro-implied earnings

The narrative du jour is that inflation is bad for stocks, but inflation actually turns out to be good for earnings.

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Putting cash to work

Trillions of dollars are parked in U.S. money market funds. Where and when investors move these assets next could impact stock and bond returns in 2024.   

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Attractive yields but narrow spreads: The credit dilemma

Yields in many credit sectors are near multi-decade highs, but credit spreads are relatively narrow and the distinct risk of an economic or financial market recession looms eventually.

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Three important insights from 2023

Bond yields have rebounded, the Magnificent 7 should be viewed as a separate asset class, and the Fed has pivoted.

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Investing in China means embracing discomfort

Sentiment toward China is weak, but opportunities exist for investors who seek them.

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Seize the opportunities in a new era for global equities

We are operating in a different environment. The equilibrium path has changed, and equity investors need to adapt.

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