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2023 Midyear Market Outlook
Finding the Signal Through the Noise
The global economy avoided recession in the first half. As investors move into the second half of 2023, distinguishing the signal from the noise could be especially critical as higher interest rates and tighter liquidity are fully felt.
2023 Australia Midyear Market Outlook
Our base case for a cautious investment stance with a focus on quality defensive stocks remains on track.
2023 China Midyear Market Outlook
A more broad-based recovery after initial reopening, though some bumpiness is expected.
Three Themes to Watch in 2023
THEME 1
Economic Resilience Tested
We believe it is reasonable to be reluctantly bearish on financial markets for the balance of 2023. Concerns remain centered on inflation, policy, and recession – but mixed data complicates the outlook. Read more...
THEME 2
Bonds Are Back?
The sharp rise in bond yields since early 2022 has improved return potential in many fixed income sectors. But an aggressive portfolio shift into longer‑term bonds still appears premature. Read more...
THEME 3
A Focus on Earnings
Equity markets have delivered strong gains in the first half of 2023, however a focus on valuations and earnings will be important in the second half, amid a potential growth shock. Read more...
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