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Fund Buyer Trends - In-Depth: US Equities
2015年10月
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US EQUITIES INVESTMENT SENTIMENT
Here we take an in-depth look at the attitudes towards US equities, not only showing the pan-European attitudes, but also the country breakdown.
- US equities have been through a real roller-coaster since the crash of 2009. Three years ago they were still much more bought than sold – and remained that way up until the start of 2013.
- In Q2 2013, we got the first warning of a downturn in sentiment. There was a big drop in those looking to buy more and a slight increase in sellers. It continued going downhill, hitting the bottom at the start of 2015.
- Since then we have had two quarters of rising sentiment and the number of those looking to increase their weighting almost matches those wanting to sell off.
- You can see from the bar chart at the bottom that there is substantial variability depending on country. Belgian investors are very optimistic, while investors in Luxembourg are divided – with a lot of buyers and also a lot of sellers.
- Finland and Italy, meanwhile, are the bottom of the table – with a significant % of net sellers.


US EQUITIES STYLE PREFERENCES
We look at how the style preferences differ from country to country, both in terms of large vs small cap and growth vs value strategies.
- Overall as a continent, there is very little aggregate preference for large cap over small or the reverse. On a country basis, however, the differences are huge.
- Sweden and Belgium are very keen on small-cap US strategies, while Italy and the Netherlands were 100% large cap.
- Growth versus value is the same as large vs small – as a continent, the number of those preferring growth is almost the same as those preferring value (and also almost matched by the number who have no preference).
- But on a country basis, the preferences come out: The Netherlands and Norway stand out for having many more people who prefer value investing in US equities than growth.
- There are only a couple of countries with strong growth preferences overall: Sweden and Finland. The latter is interesting because only about half of the respondents had any preference at all, but of those who did, it was 100% growth.


Source: Expert Investor Europe, 'The Fund Selector Asset Class Report' October 2015
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Macroeconomic Sentiment: “The general optimism in the face of macro troubles has been one of the defining features of funds selectors since mid-2013.”
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