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Fixed Income
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2023 Midyear Market Outlook
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This Quarter (Q4 2023) Hide

November 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Avoiding false signals in wait for peak U.S. Treasury yields

Avoiding false signals in wait for peak U.S. Treasury yields

Avoiding false signals in wait for peak U.S....

A framework can be useful for evaluating whether U.S. Treasury yields have peaked

By Arif Husain

Arif Husain Head of International Fixed Income and Chief Investment Officer, Fixed Income

November 2023 / VIDEO

Implications for Bonds in Energy Cycle Transitions

Implications for Bonds in Energy Cycle Transitions

Implications for Bonds in Energy Cycle Transitions

Our credit analysts collaborate to help obtain a fuller picture of the credit environment...

By Justin Gerbereux, Elliot Shue, CFA & Mike Hyland

By Justin Gerbereux, Elliot Shue, CFA & Mike Hyland

October 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Government Bond Issuance Boom to Pressure Yields Higher

Government Bond Issuance Boom to Pressure Yields Higher

Government Bond Issuance Boom to Pressure...

A flood of new global sovereign debt will affect market dynamics.

By Arif Husain

Arif Husain Head of International Fixed Income and Chief Investment Officer, Fixed Income

Previous Quarter ( 2023) Hide

September 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Using Artificial Intelligence to Enhance Our Investment Processes

Using Artificial Intelligence to Enhance Our Investment Processes

Using Artificial Intelligence to Enhance...

Driving deliberate innovation with artificial intelligence tools to boost human decision-m...

By Robert W. Sharps

Robert W. Sharps Chief Executive Officer and President

September 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

The Fairy Tale of a Soft Landing

The Fairy Tale of a Soft Landing

The Fairy Tale of a Soft Landing

The consensus view shift toward a mild downturn looks misplaced.

By Arif Husain

Arif Husain Head of International Fixed Income and Chief Investment Officer, Fixed Income

August 2023 / VIDEO

A new era of Gulf aid: potential winners and losers

A new era of Gulf aid: potential winners and losers

A new era of Gulf aid: potential winners...

A new era of Gulf aid could emerge—which countries could potentially benefit, and...

August 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

The Four U.S. Treasury Yield Phases of a Fed Tightening Cycle

The Four U.S. Treasury Yield Phases of a Fed Tightening Cycle

The Four U.S. Treasury Yield Phases of a...

Portfolio managers collaborate to help shape duration positioning.

By Arif Husain

Arif Husain Head of International Fixed Income and Chief Investment Officer, Fixed Income

July 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

A New Fixed Income Regime—Three Active Portfolio Responses

A New Fixed Income Regime—Three Active Portfolio Responses

A New Fixed Income Regime—Three Active Portfolio...

What to expect as monetary policy tightening moves closer to ending.

By Scott Solomon & Quentin Fitzsimmons

By Scott Solomon & Quentin Fitzsimmons

July 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis have left a stronger banking sector in Europe,...

By Rob Thomas

Rob Thomas Global credit analyst in the Fixed Income Division at T. Rowe Price.

July 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Asia Credit Markets: Capitalizing on Emerging Themes and Exciting Opportun...

Asia Credit Markets: Capitalizing on Emerging Themes and Exciting Opportunities

Asia Credit Markets: Capitalizing on Emerging...

By Sheldon Chan

Sheldon Chan Co-Portfolio Manager, Asia Credit Bond Strategy

July 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Central Banks Step Into Potential Policy Error Territory

Central Banks Step Into Potential Policy Error Territory

Central Banks Step Into Potential Policy...

Hawkish stances risk overtightening and causing recession

By Arif Husain

Arif Husain Head of International Fixed Income and Chief Investment Officer, Fixed Income

Q2 2023 Show

June 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Volatility Brings Opportunity in Fixed Income

Volatility Brings Opportunity in Fixed Income

Volatility Brings Opportunity in Fixed Income

Interest rate markets offer alpha opportunities, dollar at risk of depreciation.

By Arif Husain, Scott Solomon & Quentin Fitzsimmons

By Arif Husain, Scott Solomon & Quentin Fitzsimmons

June 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Four Themes Shaping Global High Yield Bonds

Four Themes Shaping Global High Yield Bonds

Four Themes Shaping Global High Yield Bonds

Opportunities to generate value amid volatility.

By Michael Della Vedova

Michael Della Vedova Co‑portfolio Manager, Global High Income Bond Strategy

May 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

China Investing: What Comes Next?

China Investing: What Comes Next?

China Investing: What Comes Next?

A three-stage recovery is underway

By Wenli Zheng

Wenli Zheng Portfolio Manager, China Evolution Equity Strategy

May 2023 / FIXED INCOME

Rates Volatility to Continue as Economic Outlook Evolves

Rates Volatility to Continue as Economic Outlook Evolves

Rates Volatility to Continue as Economic...

We expect a relatively mild U.S. recession, not a steep downturn

By Andrew McCormick

Andrew McCormick Head of Fixed Income

May 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

China Investing: What Comes Next?

China Investing: What Comes Next?

China Investing: What Comes Next?

A three-stage recovery is underway.

May 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Medical Technology Industry Well Positioned Post-COVID

Medical Technology Industry Well Positioned Post-COVID

Medical Technology Industry Well Positioned...

Many businesses in the health care sector can consistently grow revenue and earnings,...

By Mitchell Unger

Mitchell Unger Credit Analyst, Health Care Sector

April 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

The ECB’s Hawkish Stance May Not Last Much Longer

The ECB’s Hawkish Stance May Not Last Much Longer

The ECB’s Hawkish Stance May Not Last Much...

Market events could prompt a softening of policy this summer.

By Tomasz Wieladek

Tomasz Wieladek Chief European Economist

April 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

China's Reopening: Implications and Impact

China's Reopening: Implications and Impact

China's Reopening: Implications and Impact

Brisk reopening brings quicker consumption response.

By Carolyn Chu & Chris Kushlis

By Carolyn Chu & Chris Kushlis

April 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Labor Market Resilience Suggests Recession is Not Imminent

Labor Market Resilience Suggests Recession is Not Imminent

Labor Market Resilience Suggests Recession...

Growth accelerated in late 2022, and data released so far in 2023 solidify the case...

By Blerina Uruçi

Blerina Uruçi Chief U.S. Economist

Q1 2023 Show

March 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Russia-Ukraine War One Year On

Russia-Ukraine War One Year On

Russia-Ukraine War One Year On

Ongoing war continues to reverberate through the economy and energy markets.

By Razan Nasser & Peter Botoucharov

By Razan Nasser & Peter Botoucharov

March 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

The Mild Winter Will Delay Europe’s Recession, Not Prevent It

The Mild Winter Will Delay Europe’s Recession, Not Prevent It

The Mild Winter Will Delay Europe’s Recession,...

Other risks will likely weigh on the Continent later this year.

By Tomasz Wieladek

Tomasz Wieladek Chief European Economist

January 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Deglobalization in a Connected World

Deglobalization in a Connected World

Deglobalization in a Connected World

We are seeing a shift in the global economy that could shape the investment landscape...

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

January 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Leaning Against the Wind

Leaning Against the Wind

Leaning Against the Wind

In the face of challenging headwinds, a careful contrarian approach could offer potential...

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

January 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

The Return of Yield

The Return of Yield

The Return of Yield

Yields are appealing in select markets and buying opportunities exist, but investors...

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

January 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

An Economic Balancing Act

An Economic Balancing Act

An Economic Balancing Act

Aggressive rate hikes are slowing economic growth. But a deep downturn across the...

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

By Andrew McCormick, Sébastien Page & Justin Thomson

Q4 2022 Show

December 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

2023 Inflation Outlook

2023 Inflation Outlook

2023 Inflation Outlook

Interest rate cut is unlikely if inflation settles above Fed’s target.

By Tim Murray

Tim Murray Capital Markets Strategist, Multi‑Asset Division

December 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Do Not Underestimate Quantitative Tightening

Do Not Underestimate Quantitative Tightening

Do Not Underestimate Quantitative Tightening

It may affect economies more than central banks assume.

By Tomasz Wieladek

Tomasz Wieladek Chief European Economist

December 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Asia ex-Japan 2023 Market Outlook

Asia ex-Japan 2023 Market Outlook

Asia ex-Japan 2023 Market Outlook

Patiently Building Long-Term Positions

By Anh Lu

Anh Lu Portfolio Manager, Asia ex-Japan Equity Strategy

December 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

China Market Outlook 2023

China Market Outlook 2023

China Market Outlook 2023

“What should be” versus “What is likely to happen”

By Wenli Zheng

Wenli Zheng Portfolio Manager, China Evolution Equity Strategy

November 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

How Fixed Income May Help Navigate Evolving Markets

How Fixed Income May Help Navigate Evolving Markets

How Fixed Income May Help Navigate Evolving...

Five flexible bond opportunities to help lead clients through new market realities

November 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

The Storm in Financial Markets Is Not Over Yet

The Storm in Financial Markets Is Not Over Yet

The Storm in Financial Markets Is Not Over...

Inflationary pressures may be receding, however.

By Nikolaj Schmidt

Nikolaj Schmidt Chief International Economist

October 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

The Case for a Strategic Allocation to High Yield Bonds

The Case for a Strategic Allocation to High Yield Bonds

The Case for a Strategic Allocation to High...

Hybrid characteristics provide attractive risk/reward profile

By Kevin Loome & Ashley Wiersma

By Kevin Loome & Ashley Wiersma

October 2022 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

How Value Can Benefit From a New Investment Cycle

How Value Can Benefit From a New Investment Cycle

How Value Can Benefit From a New Investment...

Four factors set to drive a boom in capital expenditure

By Ernest Yeung

Ernest Yeung Portfolio Manager, Emerging, Markets Discovery Equity Strategy

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