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This Quarter (Q2 2019)
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PRICE PERSPECTIVE - IN DEPTH
PRICE PERSPECTIVE - IN DEPTH
INVESTMENT VIEWPOINT
Previous Quarter (Q1 2019)
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INVESTMENT INSIGHTS
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Nick takes apart a famous literary quote – “If we want things to stay as they are, things will have to change” – to explain why investors need to re-examine their investment approach.
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With a new year under way, here's what to watch in the European high yield markets
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Markets have started the year in a jittery mood, but we do not think a recession is imminent.
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In his latest blog, Nick outlines three New Year's resolutions that don't involve running or bacon rolls.
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Over the past decade, value investing has endured one of its deepest droughts of underperformance. This shortfall has spanned market capitalization and geography. Is value investing dead or poised for a revival?
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Q4 2018
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Our recent visit was centred around a major conference, allowing the team to meet a number of key public companies.
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Themes, trends and adoption do not happen in a vacuum, and our research platform can help identify which companies can benefit.
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On the face of it, the US presidential process for deploying nuclear weapons bears little similarity to investment management. But the two share a crucial problem that, left unaddressed, poses considerable risk.
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Recent headlines have linked the inverting US yield curve to an impending recession, but what can we actually take away from it?
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Conventional wisdom believes that current Fed policy is “loose to neutral,” but data suggest that it is tighter than that.
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Recent weakness within equity markets has focused investors on whether the aging bull can keep staring down an “end of cycle” bear case.
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As we head toward 2019, we highlight some investment ideas to help navigate the key market forces.
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The macro outlook in China continues to dominate investor thinking, with concerns focused on slowing economic growth.
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
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Two fundamentals of equity markets are key to understanding why this equity bull market may have further to run.
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Our Emerging Markets Value Equity Strategy passed its three-year anniversary and I am seeing more opportunities now than at any other time.
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What can the WWII process for assessing fighter plane damage teach us about fund selection today?
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There is a trend towards passives when investing in Japanese equities, which - ironically -makes Japan an even more compelling proposition for active managers.
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How should bond investors approach markets such as Turkey and Argentina?
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Mike Della Vedova addresses four frequently asked questions about the prospects for European high yield over the rest of the year.
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
Q3 2018
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The US Treasury yield curve has recently flattened and may soon invert. What does this mean for the economy and how should investors prepare?
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What does the recent shift in policy mean for bond investors?
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Following MSCI’s announcement that Argentina and Saudi Arabia will be included in its Emerging Markets Index, investors have expressed concern about the impact on frontier markets.
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With the U.S. economic expansion now in its 10th year, many are asking: Just how long can the good times roll?
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The 'size premium' is still expected by some investors, but can it still be considered a rule of thumb given small caps have not outperformed for over a decade?
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The global economy is weakening on the back of the rising oil price, trade fears, reduced capex and Chinese deleveraging.
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U.S. high yield has performed well this year, delivering positive returns at a time when other fixed income sectors have declined. However, we are cautious about the asset class.
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The question of whether or not to hedge foreign currency exposure has grown more complicated. Is there a new rule of thumb?
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Demand for 'new economy' sectors has driven valuations of high-growth EM companies to historical highs. What might prompt a reversal of fortune?
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Q2 2018
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In light of Saudi Arabia’s MSCI upgrade, Oliver Bell takes a closer look at some of the country’s untapped investment opportunities.
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The rally in US growth stocks is more than just a FAANG story. Taymour points to four diversified sources of alpha flying below the radar.
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Growth stocks have been fuelled by a number of factors unique to this economic cycle, but a shift in conditions may see a value comeback.
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While the outlook for Asia is positive, near-term headwinds are growing. Against this backdrop, fundamental investment research is key.
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Patience is the perennial friend of the value investor.
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On a price-to-earnings basis, global equity valuations haven’t actually risen over the past two years.
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We remain confident in the long term outlook for companies that are on the right side of change.
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The prospect of a populist coalition in the third-largest euro-area economy has rattled the markets. But Italy is financially stronger than it was in 2011.
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In recent years the Japanese economy has gone from strength to strength. What is behind the economic expansion, and what lies ahead?
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With several indicators pointing to the end of the global economic expansion, what should investors expect next?
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The dollar changed direction in April. The big question now is whether this is the beginning of a new trend.
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
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On-the-ground fixed income research in central and Eastern Europe
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A confluence of factors looks set to make the European high yield sector ripe for investment
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
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Valuations, inflation, recession. Where next for the U.S. equity market?
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PRICE PERSPECTIVE - IN DEPTH
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US President Donald Trump’s experiments in trade warfare could influence correlations between equities and fixed income.
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Q1 2018
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PRICE PERSPECTIVE - IN DEPTH
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Having an informed view on where Treasury yields “should” be is an important guide to decision making — especially if fair value is out of line with market pricing.
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U.S. equity markets in general appear fully valued, but we don't think that necessarily precludes stocks from further gains.
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Investors should consider having some protection in their portfolios
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With volatility subsiding, will issuers seize the opportunity to come to market?
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A rise in inflation and tighter monetary policy certainly could be a risk to “goldilocks” but some injection of uncertainty feels normal as well as healthy.
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Is the environment evolving into a state that could potentially be more constructive for value investors?
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For bond investors, caution could pay off in 2018.
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We brought forward our trip to South Africa where political developments could have positive effects for neighbouring countries
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The growth of the information technology sector within emerging markets has been quite remarkable in recent years.
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Our biggest wish of all this year is for the positive recent political developments in Africa to lead to a real reversal of economic fortunes.
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The T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Equity team reports back from their reserarch trip to Turkey, while our Frontiers team update on Saudi Arabia.
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Key risks, trends and growth drivers in 2018.
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With a new year underway, here's a five-point guide for what's in store for European high yield markets
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We highlight our favoured areas and the key events to watch across frontier markets in 2018
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The markets give, and the markets take away, and this has been a year when markets have given little joy to value investors.
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Despite the likely evolution of the equity cycle and the injection of some complexity, we have been cautiously optimistic, and remain so.
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Valuations may look expensive, but there are a number of factors supporting the sector.
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
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The upcoming ANC leadership election in South Africa offer potential for a positive market trigger where equities are pricing in little chance of a reformist outcome
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
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The global economy appears to be on a steady course at present, but dangers loom on the horizon
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Is the collapse of the “wall of worry” in 2017 the beginning of the end for a monumentally old bull market?
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
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Assessing the technicals, fundamentals and valuations of the market
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Botswana’s economy faces challenges, but we see definite improvement
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
MARKET COMMENTARY - EQUITY
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Could the prospect of rising inflation change the economic regime and, at worst, end the equity cycle?
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Low headline volatility disguises some big return spreads and a meaningful shift in the market fabric.
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
MARKET COMMENTARY - EQUITY
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One interesting characteristic of the China A-share market is that there is currently very little correlation between valuation and quality.
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As more countries move along the path to prosperity, who will be next and how will the frontier universe evolve going forward?
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PRICE POINT - IN BRIEF
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In some ways, today's risk environment feels like the runup to the Global Financial Crisis
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PRICE PERSPECTIVE - IN DEPTH
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After a great run for risky assets, especially in emerging markets, the mood music has started to change
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We believe a cautious approach is justified by the current risk environment.
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Despite the proximity of the three countries, the drivers of each economy are different.
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