Markets have priced in a significant economic slowdown in 2023. But we see potential opportunities for agile investors.
Our investment experts discuss four key investment themes that are expected to impact the markets over the coming year.
Heading into 2023, capital markets have priced in a significant global economic slowdown. The key question is whether deceleration ends in a “soft landing”—slower but still positive growth—or a recession. Central bank tightening has reached a critical point, and investors will look to see whether inflation and interest rates peak in 2023. Equity valuations have improved, but the U.S. market still appears expensive by historical standards, and earnings estimates may be overly optimistic.
We see relative valuation advantages in some equity sectors and in non-U.S. markets. The 2022 bond bear market pushed yields to the most attractive levels since the global financial crisis. U.S. high yield bonds in particular appear to offer return potential, as credit spreads provide a buffer against a rise in defaults. The threat of “deglobalization” has been exaggerated, but big structural changes are in progress. We see opportunities amid the disruptions.
An Economic
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the Wind
The Return
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Markets have priced in a significant economic slowdown in 2023. But we see potential opportunities for agile investors.
Our investment experts discuss four key investment themes that are expected to impact the markets over the coming year.
Heading into the second half, inflation and rising interest rates remain
the most serious threats global investors face.
Catch the most important takeaways from the 2023 Global Market Outlook in under two minutes with Ritu Vohora.
Explore our insights and analysis on global markets from our team of investment experts.
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