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T. ROWE PRICE INSIGHTS

Ahead of the Curve

Read the latest monthly insights from our Fixed Income CIO, Arif Husain
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Our best ideas in this period of uncertainty 

Global divergence trades

Relative value emerging across regions

Duration

Better entry points to tactically add but still underweight; remain globally diversified

Selective credit

Selectivity is key given tight spreads, but all-in yields remain attractive, prefer HY over IG

Inflation protection

Mitigate against rising price pressures

Adding U.S. dollar

Tactically adding amid extended positioning & growth outperformance

The views contained herein are those of Arif Husain as of 16 March 2026 and are subject to change without notice; these views may differ from those of other T. Rowe Price associates. It is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to take any particular investment action.

Read the latest insights

Jul 2026 Ahead of the Curve

The U.S. dollar: Near-term tailwinds, long-term headwinds

Key insights

  • My view on the U.S. dollar remains negative over the longer term, although some shorter-term factors may support it into the U.S. midterm elections.
  • The rates market offers a better way to express a short-term outlook for U.S. economic strength than overweight exposure to the U.S. dollar, in my view.
  • The isolationist leanings of the Trump administration’s economic policies weigh on my long-term outlook for the U.S. dollar.

5802031

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