Skip to content

December 2023 / VIDEO

Artificial Intelligence: The New Electricity?

AI has the potential to be the biggest productivity enhancer to the global economy since the rise of electricity.


What areas within technology are you most focused on?

I think artificial intelligence has the potential to be the biggest productivity enhancer to the global economy since the rise of electricity.

When I think about themes and investing in global technology, I really focus on the part of my framework focused on finding companies innovating in secular growth markets. The most important theme to me today is the rise of artificial intelligence.

I think that in order to invest in the artificial intelligence stocks, you have to find the linchpin companies that are enabling AI in order to happen. These are primarily in the digital semiconductor space and the semi capital equipment ecosystem. The second trend that we're seeing in all of global technology all around the world is the continued transition from offline retail to online retail.

And there are great e-commerce companies all around the globe that are enabling that transition, whether it's in Latin America, Europe, the U.S., or Asia. And finally, we're always looking for the rise of cloud adoption. This is because every enterprise in the world is focused on having a strong software strategy and a strong data strategy. They need that in order to be competitive in this new software-intensive global economy.

What is driving investor interest in AI?

Sometimes I get asked the question, “Why has AI hype really taken off recently? How has it captured the global zeitgeist as strongly as it has?” And there's really two innovations behind artificial intelligence that's resulted in a step function capability and what we've seen from the likes of chatGPT and these type of chat models. The first is on the hardware side. In semiconductors, we've seen the rise of the graphics processing unit, or the GPU, from companies like NVIDIA or AMD. The second is on the software side and the rise of large language models, specifically the transformer large language models. That's what the T stands for in chatGPT—transformer. Let's talk a little bit about the GPU. Why is it so powerful?

Well, if we took a typical GPU from the likes of NVIDIA or AMD and ran it against a typical CPU, or a central processing unit, we can see these differences. If I tasked a CPU with the problem of reading a book, say Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities, and find all the times the author says the word “the,” it would start on the first page—"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times"—and count all of the different “the’s” in the book. The GPU, on the other hand, would rip the book into 100 pages and read all those pages at the same time. As you can see, running those parallel processes that the GPU can do is dramatically more efficient.

On the other hand, we have large language models. What we've done with those is basically scour the entire internet, all of the written language, and thrown them into the GPUs and out pops almost humanlike interactions. That's why we've seen such a step function change in artificial intelligence capabilities.

How do you approach investing in AI?

I probably spend more time thinking about is AI hopeful or hyperbole than any other question today. That being said, there's a question of the long-term reality versus the short-term cycle, and that's why when we're investing in these stocks, we need to be careful what is being priced in to the market. That's why we always rely on our framework when we're trying to invest in this artificial intelligence space.

What do you see as the key risks to investing in AI?

Probably the most important risk that I'm thinking about is the AI hype versus AI reality. I personally think that AI has the potential to be the biggest productivity enhancer to the global economy since electricity. All that being said, sometimes the stocks can get ahead of themselves, and that's why active management really matters.


This material is being furnished for general informational purposes only. The material does not constitute or undertake to give advice of any nature, including fiduciary investment advice, and prospective investors are recommended to seek independent legal, financial and tax advice before making any investment decision. T. Rowe Price group of companies including T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. and/or its affiliates receive revenue from T. Rowe Price investment products and services. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. The value of an investment and any income from it can go down as well as up. Investors may get back less than the amount invested.

The material does not constitute a distribution, an offer, an invitation, a personal or general recommendation or solicitation to sell or buy any securities in any jurisdiction or to conduct any particular investment activity. The material has not been reviewed by any regulatory authority in any jurisdiction.

Information and opinions presented have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable and current; however, we cannot guarantee the sources' accuracy or completeness. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. The views contained herein are as of the date noted on the material and are subject to change without notice; these views may differ from those of other T. Rowe Price group companies and/or associates. Under no circumstances should the material, in whole or in part, be copied or redistributed without consent from T. Rowe Price.

The material is not intended for use by persons in jurisdictions which prohibit or restrict the distribution of the material and in certain countries the material is provided upon specific request.  

It is not intended for distribution to retail investors in any jurisdiction.

Canada—Issued in Canada by T. Rowe Price (Canada), Inc. T. Rowe Price (Canada), Inc.’s investment management services are only available to Accredited Investors as defined under National Instrument 45-106. T. Rowe Price (Canada), Inc. enters into written delegation agreements with affiliates to provide investment management services.

© 2023 T. Rowe Price. All rights reserved. T. ROWE PRICE, INVEST WITH CONFIDENCE, and the bighorn sheep design are, collectively and/or apart, trademarks or registered trademarks of T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

Previous Article

November 2023 / MULTI-ASSET

Integrating ESG Preferences in Asset Allocation
Next Article

December 2023 / MARKETS & ECONOMY

Economic Momentum and Growth Supportive Policies Underpin Japan’s Renaissance
202310 – 3163845