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2023 Global Market Outlook

The Need for Agility


Heading into 2023, capital markets appear to have priced in a significant global economic slowdown. The key question is whether this deceleration will lead to a full-fledged recession.

Much depends on the US Federal Reserve and the world’s other major central banks as they continue efforts to bring inflation under control.

The good news? Valuations across most select asset classes look more attractive today. Global equities have seen multiples compress, while sharply rising yields have improved the potential for prospective fixed income returns. Elevated geopolitical risks, deglobalisation, and changing market structures mean investors should be prepared for higher volatility; but volatility - and excessive pessimism - can create value for agile investors.

In this Global Market Outlook, our experts share insights on the four key themes they expect to influence markets over the coming year, and the investment opportunities and risks that could lie within.

WEBINAR

Webinar replay: 2023 Global Market Outlook

Elevated geopolitical risks, deglobalisation, and changing market structures mean investors should be prepared for higher volatility; but agility can be a source of opportunity amid dislocation. 

Listen to our chief investment officers as they discuss four key investment themes that are expected to impact markets over the coming year.

Thinking

Regional Outlooks

December 2022 / MARKET OUTLOOK

China Market Outlook 2023

China Market Outlook 2023

China Market Outlook 2023

“What should be” versus “What is likely to happen”

By Wenli Zheng

Wenli Zheng Regional Portfolio Manager

December 2022 / MARKET OUTLOOK

The Outlook for Japan Remains Finely Poised

The Outlook for Japan Remains Finely Poised

The Outlook for Japan Remains Finely Poised

Divergent policy, relative to other major markets, has broad implications

By Archibald Ciganer

Archibald Ciganer Portfolio Manager

Insights

January 2023 / VIDEO

Five Important Insights From 2022

Five Important Insights From 2022

Five Important Insights From 2022

The Fed is determind to fight inflation and yield is back, but socially oriented...

By Tim Murray

Tim Murray Capital Markets Analyst

January 2023 / INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Five Key Insights From 2022

Five Key Insights From 2022

Five Key Insights From 2022

Uncertainty persists, but yield is back and fundamentals matter

By Tim Murray

Tim Murray Capital Markets Strategist, Multi-Asset Division

December 2022 / VIDEO

Video: The 2023 Inflation Outlook

Video: The 2023 Inflation Outlook

Video: The 2023 Inflation Outlook

Easing inflation may slow or pause Fed hikes, but we believe a rate cut is unlikely...

By Tim Murray

Tim Murray Capital Markets Analyst

"Active management skill is just incredibly important in this environment."

Sébastien Page, Chief Investment Officer, Head of Global Multi-Asset

2023 Global Tactical Views

As of November 30, 2022

The tactical allocation views are prepared by the T. Rowe Price Multi-Asset Division and are informed by a subjective assessment of the relative attractiveness of asset classes and subclasses over a 6- to 18-month horizon.

VIDEO

Key Takeaways of the 2023 Global Market Outlook

Investment Specialist Ritu Vohora shares important key takeaways from this year’s Global Market Outlook in under two minutes.

Investment Leaders

Andrew McCormick

Chief Investment Officer,
Head of Global Fixed Income

Sébastien Page

Chief Investment Officer,
Head of Global Multi-Asset

Justin Thomson

Chief Investment Officer,
International Equity

Ritu Vohora

Investment Specialist,
Capital Markets

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