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Does a Geopolitical Crisis Equal a Market Crisis? Not Necessarily.

April 11 2022

Help your clients understand it is normal to feel concern and uncertainty during a global crisis, but a patient investor who absorbs short-term volatility may benefit over the long term.

To better understand the potential impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on markets, let’s look at other recent crises. While any toll on human lives is devastating, it is helpful to note that financial markets have not only recovered from past crises, but, in many cases, emerged stronger.

MARKETS HAVE EVENTUALLY RECOVERED FROM PAST CRISES

S&P 500 Index January 1, 2000, Through March 21, 2022

S&P 500 Index January 1, 2000, Through March 21, 2022

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Chart is for illustrative purposes only.

Sources: T. Rowe Price, S&P, and https://www.matteoiacoviello.com/gpr.htm. Data downloaded from https://www.matteoiacoviello.com/gpr.htm on March 21, 2022. See Additional Disclosures below for more information about S&P data.

Don’t let fear derail your long-term plans.

It is normal to feel concern and uncertainty during a global crisis. Short-term market downturns can be disconcerting, and they may heighten anxiety among investors. If the stock market’s historical trends hold true, however, a patient investor who absorbs short-term volatility may benefit over the long term.

HOW MARKETS HAVE BOUNCED BACK AFTER CRISES

S&P 500 Index performance during and after past crises.

S&P 500 Index January 1, 2000, Through March 21, 2022

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Table is for illustrative purposes only. See Additional Disclosures below.

Sources: T. Rowe Price and S&P. One-day return for 9/11 attacks after reopening of market on 9/17/01.

For additional resources to help your clients understand the role of fixed income, keep a long-term perspective, and chart a steady course, visit Speaking of Markets.

Additional Disclosures 

© 2022 S&P Global Market Intelligence (and its affiliates, as applicable). Reproduction of any information, data, or material, including ratings (“Content”) in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of the relevant party. Such party, its affiliates, and suppliers (“Content Providers”) do not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness, timeliness, or availability of any Content and are not responsible for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of such Content. In no event shall Content Providers be liable for any damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or lost profit and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Content. A reference to a particular investment or security, a rating or any observation concerning an investment that is part of the Content is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold such investment or security, does not address the suitability of an investment or security, and should not be relied on as investment advice.

Important Information:

This material is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to take any particular investment action. This information is not intended to reflect a current or past recommendation concerning investments, investment strategies, or account types, advice of any kind, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or investment services. The opinions and commentary provided do not take into account the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular investor or class of investor. Please consider your own circumstances before making an investment decision.

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